We’re continuing our daily US Open predictions with a near-12/1 double taken from the men’s semi-finals in New York.
There have again been plenty of thrills and spills on the hard courts of Flushing Meadows and the remaining matches promise even more excitement.
Daniil Medvedev to beat Felix Auger-Aliassime 3-1 @ 12/5
Both of these players have been serving well at Flushing Meadows, with Medvedev averaging 11 aces per match and his opponent 20.
Auger-Aliassime has won all five of his tiebreaks in previous rounds, so that points towards him avoiding a whitewash.
However, Medvedev is far more solid in open play and his lack of unforced errors, plus a wall-like defence, should prove decisive.
Auger-Aliassime is the first Canadian man to reach the semi-finals but now takes a daunting step up in class.
The Russian has a superb record here, making his first grand slam final in New York in 2019, losing in five sets to Rafael Nadal, before going down in a tight contest against eventual champion Dominic Thiem in the last four 12 months ago.
“Experience is not everything, because when I was in my first semis of a slam, I won it,” said Medvedev. “Doesn’t mean if you’re there for the first time you’re going to lose it.
“But I like that I have this experience. I know how it is. I’m not going to be tight. I know that.
“After, it’s a question about tennis. If I play good, it’s not going to be easy for my opponent. That’s the most important thing I’m going to try to do.”
Novak Djokovic vs Alexander Zverev to last 5 sets @ 11/4
Djokovic has won 26 consecutive grand slam matches and remains on course for the calendar clean sweep following Australian Open, French Open and Wimbledon triumphs.
However, only one of his victories in New York have come in straight sets and the Serbian superstar accepts this will be his toughest test to date.
Zverev beat Djokovic at this stage of the Olympics before going on to strike gold in Tokyo and then secured an ATP Masters title success in Cincinnati.
The German has yet to claim a top-10 scalp at a grand slam tournament but has breezed through this event, dropping just one set.
“He’s in tremendous form, he’s been winning a lot,” commented Djokovic. “He has comfortably moved to the semi-finals here.
“I know his game well, we played in Tokyo. He’s one of the best players in the world, but the bigger the challenge, the more glory in overcoming it.”
Djokovic has incredibly won 26 straight matches which have gone to five sets, so 21/4 for him to prevail 3-2 is tempting, but Zverev is on song so we’re taking no chances with who might take a decider here.
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